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Hay Baling Timing · Moisture Management · All Crop Types

Best Time of Day to Bale Hay

Hay moisture at baling is not fixed from the moment cutting is complete — it changes hour by hour as temperature rises and falls, humidity fluctuates and overnight dew re-wets the windrow. The difference between 14:00 and 09:00 baling from the same windrow can be the difference between 15% moisture and 22% moisture in the bale. This guide explains exactly what is happening in the windrow through the day and how to read the conditions for your specific region.

Covers: dew point · relative humidity · morning risks · afternoon window · evening limits · regional differences · weather forecast reading

Why Timing Matters More Than Most Producers Realise

A windrow that reached 15% moisture at 14:00 on Day 3 after cutting can be at 20–22% moisture by 08:00 the following morning — not because it rained, but because overnight atmospheric moisture (dew) re-absorbed into the partially cured hay. Baling that same windrow at 08:00 instead of 14:00 produces bales that will heat, lose quality and potentially be rejected by premium buyers. Baling it at 14:00 produces a marketable product. The equipment, the crop and the field are identical — only the time differs.

This diel (daily) moisture cycle in windrow hay is the most underappreciated factor in hay production quality. Understanding it allows you to predict your baling window reliably, avoid unnecessary field-drying delays and prevent the quality damage that comes from baling outside the safe moisture range.

Dew Point vs Relative Humidity — Which Matters More?

Why Relative Humidity Alone Is Misleading

Most producers monitor relative humidity (RH) as their primary weather indicator for baling decisions. RH is the percentage of maximum moisture the air can hold at its current temperature. The problem: RH changes dramatically with temperature even when the absolute amount of water in the air is unchanged. At 10°C with 80% RH, the air holds 6.1 g/m³ of water. At 30°C with 35% RH, the air holds approximately 11.0 g/m³. The morning reading (80% RH) suggests high humidity; the afternoon reading (35% RH) suggests ideal conditions — but the air at 30°C actually contains nearly twice as much water per cubic metre. This apparent paradox is why experienced hay producers focus on dew point rather than RH alone.

Dew Point: The Stable Indicator

The dew point temperature is the temperature at which the air would become saturated with water vapour — the point at which condensation begins. Unlike RH, dew point does not change as temperature rises and falls through the day. A dew point of 12°C at 06:00 is still approximately 12°C at 16:00 on the same day (assuming no weather front has moved through). This stability makes dew point the most reliable single indicator for hay baling timing decisions.

Punto di rugiada inferiore a 10 °C

Excellent baling conditions. Low atmospheric moisture limits re-wetting potential. Morning baling may be feasible if windrow moisture is below 17% from previous day testing.

Dew Point 10–15°C

Typical baling conditions. Overnight re-wetting is moderate. Standard afternoon baling window (13:00–18:00) applies. Test moisture before starting.

Dew Point 16–20°C

High humidity region or season. Overnight re-wetting is significant. Afternoon baling window is shorter — start later (14:00–15:00) and stop earlier. Test more frequently.

Dew Point Above 20°C

Gulf Coast, Southeast summer conditions. Hay re-wetting is severe overnight. Afternoon baling window may be only 2–3 hours. Consider hay preservatives if this is routine.

Morning Baling: The Hidden Moisture Risk

What Happens to the Windrow Overnight

As air temperature falls after sunset, RH rises toward 100%. When the surface temperature of the windrow drops to the dew point temperature, moisture from the air begins condensing directly onto the hay surface — this is dew formation. Dew begins re-wetting the outer layer of the windrow at this point, typically between 22:00 and 02:00 depending on the season and location. By dawn, the windrow surface can have re-absorbed 4–8 percentage points of moisture compared to its late-afternoon reading.

This morning surface moisture is real moisture that goes into the bale if you bale before it evaporates. An operator who measures windrow surface moisture at 08:00 and gets a reading of 18–20% is measuring primarily this dew moisture — but the windrow core was already at 15% moisture the previous afternoon. Baling at 08:00 produces a bale that will heat, even though the windrow was ready the day before.

When Morning Baling Is Appropriate

There are two situations where morning baling is correct. First: when the dew point is below 8°C and nighttime temperatures stayed well above the dew point — dew did not form because the windrow surface did not cool to the dew point. In arid western regions during summer, this condition is common and morning baling is frequently safe. Second: baling hay with a preservative at slightly elevated moisture — morning baling of hay at 18–20% moisture with applied preservative is an established practice for weather-pressured operations. Outside these specific conditions, morning baling of standard small square alfalfa or grass hay is the most common cause of heated bale lots.

The Afternoon Window: When to Start and When to Stop

square baler operating in a hay field during the afternoon baling window showing the optimal conditions for hay production — the afternoon baling window opens when solar radiation and rising temperature have evaporated the morning dew from the windrow surface and closes when evening humidity begins to rise usually between 17:00 and 19:00 depending on the region and season

When the Window Opens

The afternoon baling window opens when two conditions are met simultaneously: the windrow surface has dried from overnight dew (typically reached 2–3 hours after sunrise in sunny conditions), and the windrow core moisture has reached or remained below the target baling range. In most summer hay-baling regions, these conditions align between 12:00 and 14:00 on a clear day. The most common mistake in hay baling is starting too early — at 10:00 or 11:00 — when the windrow surface feels dry but the core is still carrying overnight re-wetting moisture from the surface layer inward.

A reliable opening test: measure the windrow core moisture with a probe meter at 12:00. If the core reads below 17%, the window is open for standard small square baling. If it reads 17–19%, wait 60–90 minutes and test again. Temperature and solar radiation continue to drive moisture out of the core through mid-afternoon, so a reading of 18% at 12:00 often reaches 15–16% by 14:00 on a good day without any change in the windrow.

When the Window Closes

The afternoon baling window closes when evening humidity begins to rise — typically between 17:00 and 19:00, though this varies significantly by region and season. The closing signal is not a clock time but a humidity reading: when relative humidity begins rising noticeably on your weather app or station and the windrow surface starts to feel slightly cool or damp to the touch, stop baling for the day. Bales produced in the last 30–60 minutes before dew formation begins may appear dry at baling but will absorb surface moisture as they sit in the field overnight before being moved to storage — particularly the bales on the outer surface of a row or stack.

square baler operating in a field showing the afternoon baling window when surface dew has fully evaporated and core moisture has reached the safe baling range below 17 percent — the correct afternoon start time varies by region from 12:00 in arid western states to 14:00 or later in humid southeastern states

Regional Differences: Arid West vs Humid Southeast

Western Arid Regions (CA, AZ, NV, ID, WA East)

In the irrigated desert and semi-arid western states, summer nights are frequently dry enough that dew does not form on windrows overnight. Dew point temperatures remain below 8–10°C even in the warmest months in many valley locations. In these conditions, the baling window is substantially wider: early morning baling of windrows that reached baling moisture the previous afternoon is safe because no overnight re-wetting occurred. Pacific Northwest producers in Eastern Washington and Oregon frequently start baling at 09:00 and bale through until 19:00 in peak summer, with minimal quality variation across the day.

Southeastern and Gulf Coast States (TX Gulf, FL, AL, GA, MS)

High summer dew points of 20–24°C are common across the Southeast and Gulf Coast. In these conditions, dew formation begins earlier in the evening (often by 20:00), is heavier and persists later into the morning (sometimes until 11:00 or later with cloud cover). The practical baling window on a typical Southeast summer day may be only 3–4 hours: 13:00–17:00. Producers in these regions who attempt to extend the window by starting at 10:00 or baling past 18:00 consistently produce heated lots. Management strategies: mow in narrower windrows to promote faster core drying, consider hay preservatives as a routine tool, and plan production volumes to match the compressed daily window rather than trying to extend it.

Great Plains and Midwest (KS, NE, IA, MN, WI)

The central states span a range of humidity conditions that shift significantly with weather patterns. In dry years with Canadian air masses, conditions approach the western arid window. In humid years with Gulf moisture, the window narrows toward southeastern conditions. The most reliable approach for Great Plains producers: check the dew point each morning before making a baling start time decision, rather than using a fixed clock start. A 06:00 dew point reading below 12°C on a forecast-sunny day suggests a 12:00–13:00 baling start is appropriate. A dew point above 18°C suggests pushing the start to 14:00 and stopping by 17:00.

A Practical Daily Baling Decision Timetable

9YF-2200S square baler ready for afternoon baling session showing the optimal time for operation — the square baler should begin operation only after the morning dew has fully evaporated from the windrow surface and the core moisture has been confirmed below 17 percent by probe testing which in most hay-producing regions corresponds to a 13:00 to 14:00 start time on a clear sunny day

Time Windrow Condition Recommended Action Suitable for Baling?
04:00–07:00 Overnight dew on surface; core cool Do not bale. Monitor weather forecast. ❌ No
07:00–10:00 Surface drying; core still elevated Do not bale. Use time for equipment checks or other tasks. ❌ No
10:00–12:00 Surface mostly dry; core still high in humid regions Test core moisture. In arid west: may bale if below 17%. In Southeast: wait. ⚠ Region-dependent
12:00–17:00 Surface dry; core moisture at daily low Confirm core below 17% then bale. Optimal window for most regions. ✅ Yes
17:00–19:00 Humidity beginning to rise; field temperatures cooling Check RH trend. Continue if RH is still below 65% and rising slowly. ⚠ Monitor closely
After 19:00 Dew fall approaching in most regions Stop baling. Move cut bales to covered storage within 2 hours. ❌ Stop

How to Read a Weather Forecast for Baling Decisions

The Four Numbers That Matter

When planning a baling day from a weather forecast, the four numbers to focus on are: maximum daytime temperature, minimum overnight temperature, dew point at 06:00 and forecast RH at 14:00. From these four numbers, a reliable baling window estimate can be made without specialised equipment. If the minimum overnight temperature stays more than 4°C above the dew point — dew did not form (or was minimal) and early morning baling may be acceptable depending on previous day core moisture readings.

Weather apps and services that display dew point explicitly include Weather Underground, Weather.com (as a secondary field), and the National Weather Service point forecast page (weather.gov — enter a specific location and look for the hourly graph, which shows dew point alongside temperature). The hay community in the Pacific Northwest and Great Plains typically uses these resources routinely — producers in other regions often discover them only after a heated lot prompts a deeper look at timing management.

The 3-Day Baling Forecast System

Rather than making baling decisions the morning of each baling day, experienced producers plan 3 days ahead: identify the cutting window on Day 0 based on the 3-day forecast, track forecast stability through curing days and make the final baling decision by 08:00 on the target baling day based on the confirmed morning dew point and the afternoon forecast. A target baling day where the morning dew point is above 18°C and the afternoon forecast shows cloud cover and RH above 65% is not a baling day regardless of windrow condition — reschedule and continue curing rather than baling into a quality problem.

square baler in operation during the ideal afternoon baling window between 13:00 and 17:00 when solar radiation has evaporated overnight dew and windrow core moisture is at its daily minimum — stopping before evening humidity rises is the final step in a correctly timed baling day

The Night Baling Question

Is Baling After Dark Ever Appropriate?

Night baling — continuing after full dark, typically 21:00 to 02:00 — is practiced in some arid western regions during peak season when daytime temperatures allow windrows to dry beyond the lower safe moisture limit and night temperatures remain warm enough that dew does not form. In these conditions, the hay actually bales better at night in terms of leaf retention because the slightly elevated night humidity prevents leaf brittleness without re-wetting the windrow core. However, this is not a universally applicable practice — it requires confirmed dew point monitoring throughout the night session, reliable field lighting for safe equipment operation and a tractor operator capable of sustained safe nighttime operation. In humid regions, night baling almost always produces bales at dangerous moisture levels. In the arid west during summer peak, it is a well-established production technique that experienced producers manage safely with appropriate monitoring.

Square Baler Equipment and PTO Reference


agricultural gearbox and PTO shaft specifications for the 9YF series square balers used for hay baling timing-sensitive alfalfa grass and straw crops across the 40 to 140 horsepower tractor range

Specifiche dell'albero cardanico e del riduttore per tutti i modelli 9YF: Specifiche del riduttore agricolo e dell'albero cardanico

IL Presse per balle quadrate serie 9YF produce the 460×360mm small square format that horse, retail and export markets require. Driveshaft specifications for all models: Guida al dimensionamento dell'albero di trasmissione della presa di forza e del giunto omocinetico.

Frequently Asked Questions — Best Time of Day to Bale Hay

Can I bale hay at 9am if the surface feels dry?+
Surface dryness at 09:00 is not a reliable indicator of windrow core moisture in most regions. The windrow surface dries faster than the core because it is directly exposed to solar radiation and airflow. In moderate-humidity conditions, the core can remain 4–8 percentage points wetter than the surface feels at 09:00, even after a sunny overnight period. The only reliable test is a probe-type moisture meter pushed 15–20cm into the windrow centre. If the core reads below 17% at 09:00, baling is feasible. If the core reads above 17% — even if the surface is completely dry — wait until the afternoon session. In arid western regions where dew did not form overnight, 09:00 baling can be appropriate because the core moisture has not been elevated by overnight re-wetting. In all other regions, the safe default is to start no earlier than 12:00–13:00.
What RH percentage is too high to bale hay?+
Relative humidity above 65–70% at baling time is generally considered marginal for small square hay baling, and above 75% is unsafe for most crops without preservative treatment. However, RH thresholds must be interpreted in context with temperature and dew point: 70% RH at 32°C represents significantly less moisture per cubic metre than 70% RH at 18°C, so the safe temperature-corrected moisture load on the hay is lower on the warm afternoon. The most reliable practical test is the combination of RH below 65% AND rising temperature AND a windrow core probe reading below 17% — all three conditions together indicate a safe baling window more reliably than any single indicator. In the Southeast and Gulf Coast states during summer, an afternoon RH below 65% is achievable and represents good baling conditions. In the same region during late summer after 17:00, RH often rises to 75–80% within two hours of the daily minimum, so the window is short.
Is morning baling better for leaf retention in alfalfa?+
Yes — in terms of leaf shatter reduction during the baling process, morning conditions (slightly elevated surface humidity, cooler temperature) make alfalfa leaves less brittle than afternoon heat conditions. A leaf at 30°C in low humidity shatters far more readily at pickup tine contact than the same leaf at 18°C with moderate humidity. This is why some premium hay producers — particularly in the arid west where morning dew is not a concern — prefer morning baling for the leaf retention benefit, accepting that this requires confirmed overnight core moisture readings from the previous day to ensure the core is already in the safe range before starting. In humid regions, this trade-off is not available because morning moisture levels are elevated from overnight dew, making leaf-shatter reduction through morning baling an inaccessible benefit. The practical resolution for humid-region producers: accept some afternoon leaf brittleness as the cost of safe baling moisture, and focus on minimising leaf loss at the raking stage (rake in morning) rather than at the baling stage.
How fast does windrow moisture change through the day?+
The drying rate of an alfalfa windrow during the afternoon peak drying window can be surprisingly fast in good conditions — in hot, sunny, low-humidity conditions, a well-conditioned alfalfa windrow can lose 1–2 percentage points of moisture per hour between 12:00 and 16:00. This means that a windrow reading 19% core moisture at 12:00 may be at 16–17% by 14:00 without any additional raking or manipulation. The re-wetting rate in the evening is less predictable but typically begins when the air temperature falls to within 5°C of the dew point — at that point, moisture transfer from air to windrow surface begins and the windrow moisture can rise by 1–2 points per hour until dew formation peaks. Testing windrow core moisture twice during the afternoon — at 12:00 and again at 14:00 — confirms whether drying is proceeding as expected and gives you the information needed to make a reliable baling start time decision without guessing.
Should I bale in cloudy weather if the hay has been drying for 4 days?+
Cloudy weather with no rain forecast and core moisture confirmed below 17% is an acceptable baling day — clouds do not add moisture to a cured windrow and the drying that occurred over the previous 4 days is not lost by one cloudy day. The caution in cloudy conditions is that the afternoon drying rate is lower than on sunny days, meaning a windrow that might reach 15% on a sunny afternoon may only reach 17% on a cloudy afternoon from the same starting point at 09:00. Test core moisture at 12:00 and 14:00 on cloudy days rather than assuming the drying pattern matches your sunny-day experience. If the forecast shows rain within 24 hours and the windrow is at 18–19% after 4 days of mixed conditions, the decision is whether to bale at marginal moisture now (possibly with preservative) or accept the quality risk of another day with the weather. In this situation, baling with preservative applied at the baler is typically the better economic choice compared to leaving the hay in the field for another weather event.
Why does the same hay bale differently on a windy day vs a calm day?+
Wind significantly accelerates moisture evaporation from the windrow surface and reduces the boundary-layer humidity immediately above the windrow — the thin layer of moist air that would otherwise slow evaporation by raising the local humidity above the cured hay. On windy days, this moist boundary layer is continuously swept away, exposing fresh dry air to the windrow surface and accelerating drying. In practical terms: a conditioned alfalfa windrow that would take 4 days to reach 16% moisture in calm conditions may reach 16% in 2.5–3 days in consistently windy conditions. On windy days, begin core moisture testing 12–24 hours earlier than your normal schedule, and watch for over-drying in arid regions — moisture can fall below 12% in very hot, windy conditions, causing extreme leaf brittleness and shatter at baling. The ideal condition for alfalfa baling is a moderate breeze (8–20 km/h) rather than either calm or high-wind conditions.
Is there a simple app or tool to help me decide when to bale?+
Several tools are useful for baling timing decisions. For dew point monitoring, Weather Underground (wunderground.com) allows you to find the nearest personal weather station to your field and see real-time dew point — often more locally accurate than regional airport weather. The National Weather Service hourly forecast at weather.gov shows temperature and dew point on a 48-hour graph for any U.S. location. For mobile use, apps like Weather Strip or AcreEdge include dew point as a visible field. For the most accurate local readings, an inexpensive wireless weather station (available from farm supply stores for $50–150) placed near your field gives real-time temperature, humidity and calculated dew point — far more accurate than any regional forecast for the microclimate in your specific valley or field. Combined with a probe-type hay moisture meter for windrow core testing, these two tools give you all the information needed to make reliable baling timing decisions without relying on feel or calendar-based rules.
Does grass hay have the same morning moisture risk as alfalfa?+
Yes — grass hay experiences the same overnight re-wetting cycle as alfalfa, though the heating risk in storage at elevated moisture is typically somewhat less severe in grass hay than in alfalfa. Grass hay at 20% moisture will heat in small square bale storage but generally does not produce the same intense heating that alfalfa does at the same moisture level, because grass hay has a lower initial dry matter density per bale and a lower protein content (which is the primary fuel for microbial heating activity). For the horse market, grass hay at above 18% moisture is still a risk — heating causes discolouration, mold development and palatability reduction that premium horse buyers notice. The morning moisture risk is real for both crop types, and the same afternoon baling window guideline applies: start after 12:00–13:00, test core moisture, stop before humidity rises in the evening. The timing discipline appropriate for premium alfalfa hay is equally appropriate for premium grass hay destined for horse buyers or retail sale.

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